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AHK World Business Outlook Spring 2026: Global economy in crisis mode

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The war in the Middle East is exacerbating global uncertainties. High energy prices and supply chain disruptions are impacting German companies worldwide. The AHK World Business Outlook for May 2026 shows that economic expectations are collapsing and investments are being scaled back.

AHK World Business Outlook Spring 2026
Magnific

The conflict in the Middle East and the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz are severely impacting German companies at their international locations. Over 4,500 internationally active companies participated in a survey conducted by the German Chambers of Commerce Abroad (AHKs) in spring 2026 – with sobering results: Economic expectations have plummeted into negative territory. Energy prices are rising rapidly, supply chains are disrupted, and demand remains uncertain. 

 

Companies are reacting cautiously: investments are being cut, and personnel planning is more conservative. At the same time, businesses are adapting their strategies and increasingly focusing on supplier diversification, developing new sales markets, and increasing local production.

  • "Hopes for an economic recovery have been dashed. The war in the Middle East demonstrates once again how vulnerable globally interconnected value chains are."
    volker-treier-am-gelaender-2022.jpg
    Dr. Volker Treier Head of Foreign Trade | Member of the Executive Board
    DIHK

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